6 - Wednesday, August 13, 1986 - North Shore News New job thinking ith B.C. unemployment again over 12% and only two months of Expo left, Bill Vander Zalm rightly rates job creation as his tog priority. But recent experience shows he can’t depend on the private sector to do the task. In this, our new premier shares a problem facing virtually every other free-enterprise economy, and one which politicians don’t even dare discuss aloud. The harsh truth — which demands entirely new thinking — is that the supply of traditional jobs can never again keep pace with the job market and will increasingly fall short of its needs. Compared to the fairly acceptable balance between the (wo up to the 1970s, the reason is twofold. First, the swelling of the work force itself, due partly to the big influx of women. Secondly, the rapid advances of technology. The whole object of computers and automation, alike in the sawmill and the supermarket, is to produce more goods and services with fewer people, thereby enhancing profits. In business and industry, therefore, technological substitutes for human workers will in- evitably increase. Ultimately, the solution for those shut out of tradi- tional jobs may have to be whole new areas of non- traditional jobs which benefit society as a whole — at a cost. One equitable way to meet that cost might be a tax on technology itself, By allowing only a portion of its benefits to be re- tained by private sector users, livelihoods and self- respect could be created for those to whom technology now denies both. Worth a thought — along with other new ones? “GOLDEN YEARS’ CHALLENGE — PART 1 The high price of THE VOICE OF NORTH AND WEST VANCOUVER SUNDAY + WEDNESOAY - TeiDAY 1139 Lonsdale Ave. North Vancouver, B.C. V7M 2H4 57,656 (average. Wednesday a Friday & Sunday) SDA DItSiCn OLD AGE. The good news is that most of us make it. The have — can provide a maximum of bad news is that its cost threatens to become more than 4pproximately $700. Given the society can handle unless we find radical new approaches. The proportion of old people in the population is steadily rising. Three years ago 10 per cent of all Canadians (more than two million) were 65 or over. In about 40 years the figure will double — to one in five. Centenarians are stil! fairly rare. But since 1930 even the chances of a male living to be 100 have in- creased by 16 per cent. And nowhere in Canada is the geriatric explosion bigger than in our own community. During the decade endir.g in 1991 it’s estimated that the 65-plus brigade on the North Shore will have shot up by 47 per cent, from, 14,700 to 21,600. Which means, five years from now, about one in every six North and West Van res- idents will be drawing the old age pension. In West Van, where 16 per cent of today’s population is aged 65 or more, that’s already happened, not to mention the kids of 60°-and over who make up 26 per cent of West Vancouverites and are expected to reach 30 per cent by 1990. Seniors, unavoidably, are by far the heaviest users of health care and other ‘‘support'’ services — ranging from fong-term hospital beds, operations and medication to housing, transportation, home help and recreation needs. Moreover, alas, many of them reach the Golden Years with all too little gold of their own to help pay for these expensive necessities. Studies have shown that only about one in three Canadians 65 and over can enjoy financial secu- tity for the rest of their days. Last year the official poverty line for a single person was set at $852 a month. The combined old age pension and Canada Pension Plan — which many widows don’t LETTER OF THE DAY honeless, Dear Editor: I have been outraged at B.C. Tel before, ready to lash out in a Jetter, to make enough noise to change in- competence and callousness, but telephones are electronic, impersonal devices and who can stay angry about mechanical contraptions for fong? So, one forgives and forgets. Yet phones link people and touch vital parts of human hves: a friend's voice at a difficult time may change despair to hope. Inefficiencies in ser- vice can be an annoyance, an in- convenience, disruptions a bother, yet there are times when deficiencies become intolerable and a letter gets written more in sadness than outrage. July 31st was the first anniversary direct or indirect price of services Noel Wright @ focus @ needed by seniors, the CPP plus an additional $400_a month is proba- bly the minimum required by a single senior for any degree of fi- nancial independence. Without a company pension, that modest supplement translates today into needed private capital of around $50,000 bearing eight per cent interest or used to buy an annuity. In practice, of course, society foots the bill for the dispropor- tionately heavy use by seniors of doctors, hospitals and drugs, as well as subsidizing other forms of essential care for seniors who can’t afford it, nely of my husband's death; also the date of my move to a new home. Know- ing that distant family and friends would call this day I had arranged six weeks in advance for a telephone switch-over and ordered it three days early to allow for a margin of error. Well, the margin was not wide enough, all the careful planning and preparations, reassurances and pro- Display Advertising Classified Advertising 986-6222 Newsroom Distribution Subscriptions 980-0511 985-2131 986-1337 986-1337 jrowing ol Meanwhile — as a result of in- flation and the rapid growth of the elderly population ~ the Canada Pension Plan itself and many private pension funds are now confronted by serious under-fun- ding problems which will soon have to be addressed, with stiff hikes in contributions probably in- evitable. The big danger is that the shrinking percentage of working income-earners could eventually find the tax burden attributable to care of the aged simply too heavy to tolerate. Not a pretty picture but one that has to be faced. For the past year a unique group of North Shore citizens has been doing just that, in a positive and forward-looking spirit. Through coordinated planning on a scale never before undertaken in all areas of care for seniors they aim to come to grips with the problem before it swamps us. To date you. may not have heard much, or even anything, about the North Shore Seniors’ Services Providers Forum, but their prelim- inary work has now advanced to the stage where you soon will. Next week we'll look at the cominunity leaders involved and their strategy Jor controlling, 9.1 humanity and dignity, the sou, cost of growing old. Publisher: Editor-in-Chief Managing Editor Advertising Director Peter Speck Noel Wright Barrett Fisher Linda Stewart Entire contents “ 1986 North Shore Free Press Ltd. All . Tights reserved WHOSE IDEA WAS To BW CIENCI CARDS ANYWAY? HISTORY LESSON IMPERIALISM was not always as universal in 19th century Britain as is sometimes supposed. On August 13, 1852, Benjamin Disraeli — the future Tory prime minister who, 30 years later, was to make Queen Victoria Empress of India — wrote the following: ‘‘These wretched Colonies will all be independent in a short time, and are a millstone round our necks,” Also on this date, the Spanish adventurer Hernando Cortez re- conquered Mexico in 1521 after being temporarily driven out fol- lowing his original conquest; and a Dr. Leichhardt and party embark- ed on a major exploration of the Australian continent in 1844. Notable people whose birthdays fall on August 13 include film- maker C ed Hitchcock (1899), golfer ben Hogan (1910), jazz musician George Shearing (1919) and Cuban leader Fidel Castro _ (1927). anniversary mises came to nothing. Three days of pleading with the telephone com- pany to find the error came to nothing. | had no phone that night. The details of the repeated errors and stupidities would be boring to your readers; at times | knew not whether to laugh or to cry. Incompetence is sore telling when its repercussions hurt: rather than merely anger and annoy. I am sad that all of us are shackled to a monopoly without an alternative. My hope is that when B.C. Telephone sees how their blunders affect lives, maybe, just maybe, they would find this a worthwhile reason for change. M. Simpson West Vancouver