BA - Wednesday, February 22, 1984 - North Shore News IT’S THURSDAY ‘Morning. at 10 a.m. and there are 20 people in the North Shore Family Service room. They range in age from the early 20s to over 60 and while the group is predominantly male, there are a few women. By NEWS STAFF The members of the group _have one thing in common — they’ve all been through the PROGRAM LEADER Halil de Grace... gut- and ego-wrenching ex- | perience of losing their mid- dle and upper management jobs. - “People like Hal De Grace, for instance, who lost his ex- ecutive position with-a major ‘drug store chain two and a half years ago. ’ For two hours on this Thursday morning De Grace, who used the opportunity of- joblessness to return: to university to earn a degree in adult education, will lead the group through discussion aimed at helping them cope with their situation. De Grace and his 19 ““students’” are half-way through an eight-week pro- gram aimed at helping them cope with the past — their losing their jobs — and prepare for the future. By the end of the process, says De Grace, they'll not on- ly understand why they lost their jobs but what the new world is like and how they can fit into it. De Grace says his own ex- perience and his initial reac- tion to the loss of his own job have prepared him well to tead the group. “*I was told at 4 p.m. that I was through and advised at 4:30 to be gone,’’ he says of his own lay-off. ‘‘] didn’t ’ quite understand some of the things that had taken place. I wondered why they would let | a good man go.”’ De Grace, who now runs a private adult education firm and does contract work for his former employee, says it took eight months for him to understand how his situation came about. The group he’s leading now in North Vancouver, by comparison, will have a full understanding of their situa- tions — and be in a position to deal with them — at the end of the eight weeks of sessions. The first three meetings of the group have dealt with changes in the world, iden- tification of individual needs and an attempt to determine actions to take in light of the first two. leads economy's victims... Working with Alvin Tofler’s The Third Wave and Megatrends by John Naisbitt as textbooks, De Grace has pushed the ‘‘realism”’’ that society is changing from an industrial base to an informa- tion base and the need for “plain, ordinary common sense’’. This Thursday, for exam- ple, the schedule called for a look at what actions the in- dividual members could také and how they can get back in- to the community and feel better about themselves. De Grace says those in- volved in the process are beginning to respond to the sessions. ... into future... e **Two of them, as a matter of fact, have bid for projects at Expo ‘86 and one of them should get it,”’ De Grace says. The acceptance of the pro- gram may also be indicated by the leap in the number of participants from 11 at the Start to the current 19.. De Grace, who leads two similar groups and works under contract for three cor- porations, shares the credit for the success of the pro- gram with participants and with North Shore Family Services. “They (Family Services) deserve a lot of credit for what they’ve stuck their necks out to do,’’ De Grace THE ROYAL Bank of Canada’s ‘Trendicator’, a composite index: of seven. leading economic indicators, showed a slight decline in the fourth quarter of 1983 but this is not regarded as a Significant signal of economic let-down later in 1984. The bank’s economists say the decline is relatively small and follows four consecutive increases of which two, dur- ing the first half of 1983, were the strongest in the leading index’s history. **In this respect,”” says the’ “Trendicator’ Report, ‘“‘the fourth-quarter behaviour of *Trendicator’ does not alter our view that growth in Canada should continue al a respectable pace through 1984.”” Partial data indicate that the value of the leading index fell at an annual rate of 1.3 per cent to 100.70 during the fourth quarter.. According to “the report, the indicators reflecting financial market * conditions, in particular the equity markets, were primari- ly responsible for this slight decline in the index. The TSE price/earnings ratio dropped significantly for the second consecutive quarter but nevertheless still averaged 22.7, far above its historical trend. “*In part, the decline in this component reflects the sharp- ly improved carnings of re- cent quarters. And it was the earlier wide anticipation of those earnings that led to the very steep rise in the price/earnings ratio in the first place,”’ according to the report. *“‘The fact that the ratio is still at a relatively. 24 HOURS TELEPHONE ANSWERING SERVICE j ONLY $S0O PER MONTH CLASSIFIED ANSWERING SERVICE 669-7973 economic | GETTING OVER THE SHOCK Economy. to improve — elp for jobless high level suggests continued business confidence in economic conditions.”’ Four of the index’s seven leading indicators continued to rise. Below-average in- creases were estimated for: the average length of the manufacturing workweek, primary steel production, the new-order/inventory ratio for export-based industries and the residential construc- . tion index. Belowcaverage decreases were estimated. for the new- order/ inventory ratio for { consumer durable industries and recorded for the inflation-adjusted value of the money supply. 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